"ADHD and autism at risk of over-diagnosis, says government review" https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/crkg7n1ypj24o
One of many media headlines around the final Fonagy review into autism, attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) and mental health conditions seeing the light of day today: https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/independent-review-into-mental-health-conditions-adhd-and-autism-final-report
And as expected, as the various media leaks have noted, the headline is that there's a 'risk' of quite a bit of overdiagnosis, particularly when it comes to autism and ADHD and that the explosion of private sector assessment services is probably going to see some much needed regulation. The days of your average Joe or Josephine waving their 'I have an assessment certificate' without suitable professional qualifications and experience are numbered it seems. Indeed, shortly following the publication of the report, the CQC here in Blighty said they were probably going to oblige: https://www.cqc.org.uk/news/cqc-regulate-autism-and-adhd-diagnostic-assessments and with it multiple websites no doubt removed unevidenced words like 'neuroaffirming' and the like.
Obviously there's lots of nuance around such headlines. Lots of nuance. And lots of different opinions about the report and how the media have covered it. But there's quite a few positives too:
- We should, hopefully, eventually see a move towards less 'autism or ADHD assessments' to something a little more comprehensive like a 'behavioural, neurodevelopmental and psychiatric assessment' combined, complete with non-assumptions. This on the basis that there is no doubt that people are genuinely suffering but that the ICD-11 already tells us that 'autistic or ADHD traits are not the sole domain of a diagnosis of autism or ADHD' https://icd.who.int/browse/2025-01/mms/en#437815624.
- We should see other diagnostic options - less socially desirable but probably more fitting for some - being assessed and diagnosed e.g. https://www.psychiatrictimes.com/view/when-the-wrong-diagnosis-is-the-most-dangerous-prescription .
- And we should hopefully see more action around how autism - probably autisms (plural): https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/the-british-journal-of-psychiatry/article/from-autism-to-the-plural-autisms-evidence-from-differing-aetiologies-developmental-trajectories-and-symptom-intensity-combinations/4D9B0B35DCF03FDBA4E001F7DC9B02D6 - are more likely 'autisms plus' rather than being a standalone condition: https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC13512144/ just like many people (including me) have been saying and what that means for those more comprehensive assessments. Same probably goes for ADHD(s) too.
There's more besides across the report and various media too.
"Not everyone with ADHD and autism traits needs a diagnosis, major review finds" https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/home-news/adhd-autism-overdiagnosis-mental-health-streeting-welfare-b3063507.html which brings us full circle back to the idea that concepts like the 'broader autism phenotype (BAP)' were really good explanations of subthreshold autism(s). That autistic traits are very much part of the human experience outside of just being 'pathological'. Obviously, what turns autistic traits into autism is because traits begin to manifest well outside of the 'typical' in both severity and persistence and, importantly, also interfere with day-to-day life. That's why gold-standard tools like ADOS do a great job of highlighting the 'outside of typical' but it is clinical opinion - professional clinical opinion - that makes the final judgement call on 'interfering with day-to-day life' and onwards the diagnosis or not. The other side of this is recognition that autistic traits are NOT now considered the sole domain of a diagnosis of autism. Even if some autistic traits may be deemed 'atypical', if the pattern of presentation of those traits (and others) is better fitting of something else, well, then it's either that something else or potentially autism plus that something else that should be diagnosed. Again also apply to ADHD.
And finally: "There are weaknesses in the data. Evidence about the true level of autism relies on surveys that have not been done for nine years, so the review team have had to estimate what has happened since." https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/crn8wyl4n42yo This refers to the observation that we don't actually know how many kids and young people have autism here in England or the UK. Well, that's not entirely accurate...
Take for example, Northern Ireland, who have been collecting data on school-aged autism diagnoses for nearly 20 years. Their latest report: https://www.health-ni.gov.uk/sites/default/files/2026-05/asd-children-ni-2026.pdf puts the school-aged autism rate for 2025/2026 at 6.2% (8.6% in males). Of course this is administrative data so perhaps not the same as other kinds of data. But I would have thought that education departments aren't likely to hand out important diagnoses like autism if they didn't have to because they end up costing them money. And government bean counters don't like spending money if they don't have to.
The publication of the Fonagy review is a Red Letter Day. For lots of reasons. Not least recognition that behavioural, neurodevelopmental and psychiatric disorders are really, really disabling. And we need to do a lot more to accurately assess and diagnose so that targeted help and support and intervention can be suitably provided.